Why cruise ships using LNG could be worse for the climate in the short term

The emissions from the MSC World Europa vessel almost certainly include the potent greenhouse gas methane, according to an independent analysis of the footage from Texas-based TCHD Consulting.

Switzerland-based MSC Cruises said in a statement that data from the World Europa’s engine manufacturer show the ship’s engines have methane leakage significantly lower than the rate of 3.1 per cent, “which is an indicative value based on older technologies”.

The company declined to disclose the methane leak rate and said it doesn’t have data that can confirm the annual methane releases from the vessel. It may start a direct measurement process later this year.

Methane, which is the primary component of LNG and responsible for roughly 30 per cent of the planet’s heating, has more than 80 times the global warming potential (GWP) of carbon dioxide during its first two decades in the atmosphere.

Halting releases of the planet-wrecking gas is one of the most effective ways to ease the Earth’s soaring temperatures within a few years.

LNG is far from an ideal solution … To future-proof the sector, we need to move ships towards green-hydrogen-based fuels
Constance Dijkstra, shipping campaigner, T&E

Globally, maritime transport – which includes cruise liners, container ships, oil tankers and bulk carriers – spews more CO2 than Germany.

While cruises only make up a tiny share of this sector, they’re the most public-facing. Therefore any moves these ships make to adopt greener fuels will have an outsize influence in driving the energy transition, according to T&E.

The International Maritime Organisation this month set new goals for reducing emissions that experts said fail to align with measures that would limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius.

Ships using traditional oil-based marine fuels emit significantly more carbon dioxide than those burning LNG. Photo: AFP

“LNG is far from an ideal solution,” said Constance Dijkstra, a shipping campaigner with T&E. “Cruise operators are currently claiming they are going greener while still using damaging fossil fuels. To future-proof the sector, we need to move ships towards green-hydrogen-based fuels.”

Shipping, like aviation, is seen as one of the more difficult sectors to decarbonise because there aren’t yet widely available clean alternatives to the hydrocarbon-based fuels on which the sector has relied for decades.

T&E argues that cruise ship operators should be transitioning to vessels built with engines that can run on fossil fuels and hydrogen or ammonia made from renewable energy so they can quickly transition to the cleaner alternatives once they become more widely available.

An LNG tanker anchors at a small LNG industrial islet in Greece equipped with tanks for storage. Photo: Shutterstock

An LNG tanker anchors at a small LNG industrial islet in Greece equipped with tanks for storage. Photo: Shutterstock

MSC Cruises, a privately held company that operates 23 vessels globally, says in a promotional video for the MSC World Europa that LNG-powered ships use “the cleanest marine fuel available at scale today”.

Along with lower CO2 emissions, LNG-powered vessels also release less sulphur, nitric oxide and nitrogen dioxide, according to a paper published this year in the journal Atmosphere.

“The use of LNG as a shipping fuel instead of diesel improves the air quality and reduces the detrimental human health impacts of air emissions,” the authors wrote.

But as extreme heat bakes the planet, there is increased scrutiny on fossil-fuel choices that are outsize contributors to climate change, like methane.

The MS Iona, a ship operated by P&O Cruises, takes on LNG at a cruise terminal in Rotterdam, the Netherlands, in January 2021. Photo: Shutterstock

The MS Iona, a ship operated by P&O Cruises, takes on LNG at a cruise terminal in Rotterdam, the Netherlands, in January 2021. Photo: Shutterstock

Methane leaks from ships can occur when the gas enters an engine cylinder for combustion but is shielded in crevices, which leads to a fraction of the fuel exiting unburnt, according to the Atmosphere paper.

The phenomenon – known as methane slip – is acknowledged by engine manufacturers who are developing technologies to reduce leakage, the authors said.

Using the European Commission fuel-slip figures and including emissions generated during the production and transport of LNG, T&E estimates the climate impact over a 20-year period from a ship using a common four-stroke engine type is roughly 6.1 metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent for each ton of LNG it burns.

Measuring the impact of methane over 100 years drops that figure to roughly 4.5 tons. The same type of engine spews about 4.4 tons of CO2 for an equivalent amount of marine gas oil.

Engine manufacturers are beginning to respond with new technology that may offer a pathway to cleaner marine transport. Germany-based MAN Energy Solutions expects to deliver its first ammonia engine to the commercial marine transport market around 2026.

“We’re so close to being technologically ready,” Dijkstra said.

“[The question is] how do we make sure that those green e-fuels are available and how do we make sure … investors, regulators and the shipping companies themselves are all ready to make a leap forward.”

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